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ONLEANOntario
Don Valley North
M
Maggie Chi
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal58%±6%·>99% win
Conservative33%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Finance & prof
26.7%
#9 of 343top 5%
Median income
$59,300
Renters
43.7%
Under 35
17.2%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 26.7%
Area
28 km²
GE45 result
Margin
10.9%
Competitive
89.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare30.6% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement59.3% immigrants
Employment13.7% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T78
Median income
$59,300
top 25%#29
Avg 2BR rent
$2090/mo
top 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T42
Unemployment
13.7%
top 25%#10
Shelter stressed
36.6%
top 5%#66
Renters
43.7%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
17.2%#111
35–64
52.2%
65+
30.6%#115
Housing tenure
Renters
43.7%#66
Owners
56.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
3.9%#326
High school
13.8%#325
College/trades
20.0%#335
Bachelor's
37.1%#9
Postgrad
25.2%#14
People & Economy
#180
French knowledge
7.6%
#9
Immigrants
59.3%
top 5%#11
Recent arrivals
9.6%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#22
Visible minority
72.2%
top 10%#T334
Indigenous
0.3%
bottom 5%#T291
Govt. transfers
8.7%
bottom 25%#T44
Self-employed
19.1%
top 25%Industry of employment
Finance & prof26.7%
Public sector22.8%
Trades & transport9.3%
Manufacturing6.4%
Resources0.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 31.7 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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