A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
NDP49%±6%·>99% win
Conservative24%±5%·<1% win
Liberal21%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
28.6%
#14 of 343top 5%
Median income
$60,000
Renters
48.5%
Top industry
Public sector · 34.8%
Area
84 km²
GE45 result
Margin
13.9%
Competitive
86.1/100
Key issues
Employment12.5% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T70
Median income
$60,000
top 25%
#T173
Avg 2BR rent
$1485/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T73
Unemployment
12.5%
top 25%
#70
Shelter stressed
26.8%
top 25%
#48
Renters
48.5%
top 25%
Age distribution
Under 35
28.6%#14
35–64
48.5%
65+
22.9%#T273
Housing tenure
Renters
48.5%#48
Owners
51.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.5%#263
High school
18.8%#T247
College/trades
26.6%#279
Bachelor's
28.4%#T69
Postgrad
19.7%#39
People & Economy
#133
French knowledge
11.2%
#159
Immigrants
19.5%
#120
Recent arrivals
4.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#147
Visible minority
24.3%
#82
Indigenous
6.0%
top 25%
#T275
Govt. transfers
9.2%
bottom 25%
#175
Self-employed
13.5%
Industry of employment
Public sector34.8%
Trades & transport14.8%
Finance & prof13.0%
Manufacturing4.7%
Resources2.0%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Low
Index: 19.8 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.