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ONTOSSUPOntario
Eglinton—Lawrence
V
Vince Gasparro
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal53%±6%·99% win
Conservative38%±6%·1% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$88,500
#4 of 343top 5%
Renters
46.6%
Under 35
13.4%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 24.2%
Area
24 km²
GE45 result
Margin
1.5%
Competitive
98.5/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.1% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement39.0% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#4
Median income
$88,500
top 5%#37
Avg 2BR rent
$2053/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T87
Unemployment
12.2%
#51
Shelter stressed
28.5%
top 25%#52
Renters
46.6%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
13.4%#221
35–64
57.5%
65+
29.1%#149
Housing tenure
Renters
46.6%#52
Owners
53.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.7%#T285
High school
16.7%#284
College/trades
20.6%#332
Bachelor's
34.0%#24
Postgrad
22.9%#22
People & Economy
#149
French knowledge
9.8%
#62
Immigrants
39.0%
top 25%#T67
Recent arrivals
6.3%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#92
Visible minority
36.8%
#T313
Indigenous
0.6%
bottom 10%#T331
Govt. transfers
6.2%
bottom 5%#28
Self-employed
20.6%
top 10%Industry of employment
Finance & prof24.2%#15
Public sector24.1%#228
Trades & transport10.0%#310
Manufacturing5.6%#237
Resources0.3%#T311
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 14.3 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.7M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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