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ONSAFEOntario
Don Valley West
R
Rob Oliphant
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal66%±6%·>99% win
Conservative24%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Median income
$92,000
#2 of 343top 5%
Renters
51.9%
Under 35
14.3%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 26.0%
Area
34 km²
GE45 result
Margin
29.4%
Competitive
70.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.8% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement46.9% immigrants
Employment13.2% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#2
Median income
$92,000
top 5%#74
Avg 2BR rent
$1881/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T55
Unemployment
13.2%
top 25%#21
Shelter stressed
32.6%
top 10%#41
Renters
51.9%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
14.3%#185
35–64
56.9%
65+
28.8%#157
Housing tenure
Renters
51.9%#41
Owners
48.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.7%#257
High school
16.1%#301
College/trades
19.3%#337
Bachelor's
33.9%#25
Postgrad
24.0%#17
People & Economy
#T141
French knowledge
10.4%
#39
Immigrants
46.9%
top 25%#15
Recent arrivals
9.0%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#42
Visible minority
54.9%
top 25%#T322
Indigenous
0.4%
bottom 10%#T331
Govt. transfers
6.2%
bottom 5%#18
Self-employed
21.7%
top 10%Industry of employment
Finance & prof26.0%
Public sector22.9%
Trades & transport9.9%
Manufacturing4.4%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 34.3 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.4M/yr
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