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ONLEANOntario
Etobicoke North
J
John Zerucelli
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal57%±6%·>99% win
Conservative31%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
16.3%
#14 of 343top 5%
Median income
$40,200
Renters
44.6%
Under 35
12.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 18.6%
Area
51 km²
GE45 result
Margin
11.6%
Competitive
88.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.0% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement55.4% immigrants
Employment16.3% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#334
Median income
$40,200
bottom 5%#104
Avg 2BR rent
$1730/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T14
Unemployment
16.3%
top 5%#55
Shelter stressed
28.1%
top 25%#62
Renters
44.6%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
12.7%#252
35–64
59.3%
65+
28.0%#174
Housing tenure
Renters
44.6%#62
Owners
55.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
16.5%#38
High school
27.1%#117
College/trades
27.8%#T265
Bachelor's
19.3%#166
Postgrad
9.2%#171
People & Economy
#311
French knowledge
4.2%
bottom 10%#20
Immigrants
55.4%
top 10%#27
Recent arrivals
7.9%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#16
Visible minority
76.6%
top 5%#316
Indigenous
0.5%
bottom 10%#T34
Govt. transfers
18.6%
top 10%#217
Self-employed
12.4%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport21.5%
Public sector18.6%
Manufacturing13.4%
Finance & prof10.5%
Resources0.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 39.3 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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