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NBLEANAtlantic
Fundy Royal
R
Rob Moore
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative46%±6%·68% win
Liberal42%±6%·32% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Drive to work
86.6%
#63 of 343top 25%
Median income
$45,800
Renters
16.0%
Under 35
12.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 24.4%
Area
7,655 km²
GE45 result
Margin
13.3%
Competitive
86.7/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare32.6% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#284
Median income
$45,800
bottom 25%#242
Avg 2BR rent
$1260/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T195
Unemployment
9.5%
#322
Shelter stressed
10.7%
bottom 10%#317
Renters
16.0%
bottom 10%Age distribution
Under 35
12.4%#256
35–64
55.0%
65+
32.6%#T75
Housing tenure
Renters
16.0%#317
Owners
84.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
8.0%#T221
High school
33.1%#16
College/trades
40.6%#82
Bachelor's
13.7%#257
Postgrad
4.6%#295
People & Economy
#101
French knowledge
19.6%
#304
Immigrants
3.8%
bottom 25%#272
Recent arrivals
0.8%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#305
Visible minority
3.1%
bottom 25%#189
Indigenous
2.3%
#T88
Govt. transfers
16.1%
#272
Self-employed
11.0%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector24.4%
Trades & transport22.1%
Finance & prof10.0%
Manufacturing7.1%
Resources4.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 20.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 1 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.3M/yr
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