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QCSAFEQuebec
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
C
Carlos Leitão
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal56%±7%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois22%±5%·<1% win
Conservative13%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
95.1%
#53 of 343top 25%
Median income
$55,050
Renters
19.8%
Under 35
10.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 27.6%
Area
58 km²
GE45 result
Margin
28.4%
Competitive
71.6/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T121
Median income
$55,050
#171
Avg 2BR rent
$1489/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T287
Unemployment
7.0%
bottom 25%#302
Shelter stressed
12.3%
bottom 25%#T277
Renters
19.8%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
10.1%#318
35–64
66.2%
65+
23.8%#262
Housing tenure
Renters
19.8%#T277
Owners
80.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.8%#T227
High school
16.4%#295
College/trades
41.8%#65
Bachelor's
22.3%#133
Postgrad
11.7%#128
People & Economy
#53
French knowledge
95.1%
top 25%#126
Immigrants
25.6%
#193
Recent arrivals
2.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#124
Visible minority
28.9%
#302
Indigenous
0.7%
bottom 25%#T198
Govt. transfers
11.8%
#T258
Self-employed
11.4%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector27.6%
Trades & transport14.0%
Finance & prof13.8%
Manufacturing9.8%
Resources0.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 36.6 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.0M/yr
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