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QCLEANQuebec
Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie
B
Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal51%±6%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois33%±5%·<1% win
Conservative6%±6%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
98.1%
#36 of 343top 25%
Median income
$64,300
Renters
16.8%
Under 35
11.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 27.6%
Area
215 km²
GE45 result
Margin
12.0%
Competitive
88.0/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare26.1% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#47
Median income
$64,300
top 25%#156
Avg 2BR rent
$1523/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#336
Unemployment
5.2%
bottom 5%#310
Shelter stressed
11.6%
bottom 10%#309
Renters
16.8%
bottom 10%Age distribution
Under 35
11.4%#281
35–64
62.5%
65+
26.1%#205
Housing tenure
Renters
16.8%#309
Owners
83.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.9%#280
High school
14.1%#323
College/trades
41.0%#75
Bachelor's
25.1%#106
Postgrad
13.8%#93
People & Economy
#36
French knowledge
98.1%
top 25%#218
Immigrants
11.1%
#T234
Recent arrivals
1.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#206
Visible minority
10.8%
#T278
Indigenous
1.1%
bottom 25%#T267
Govt. transfers
9.6%
bottom 25%#239
Self-employed
11.9%
Industry of employment
Public sector27.6%
Finance & prof16.1%
Trades & transport13.0%
Manufacturing9.2%
Resources0.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 2 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 71.0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.2M/yr
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