British ColumbiaUrbanToday's projection: Safe
North Vancouver—Capilano
Represented by Braeden Caley, Liberal. Won the 2026 by-election by 29.4 points.
Your MP
Braeden Caley
Liberal
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The latest profile
9/343The Warm Coast and the Coldest FileBeauséjour · Sep 8, 20269 of 343 ridings profiled
2026 by-election
- Braeden Caley · LiberalElected23,80558.6%
- Stephen Curran · Conservative11,85229.2%
- Shelley Luce · Green3,5348.7%
- NDP1,2723.1%
- Ehsan Arjmand · People's1350.3%
- OTH560.1%
- Margin over second
- 29.4 pts
- Turnout
- 45.6%
2025 election · Liberal by 26.1 pts
- Jonathan Wilkinson · LiberalElected37,90759.8%
- Stephen Curran · Conservative21,33933.7%
- Tammy Bentz · NDP2,6844.2%
- Andrew Robinson · Green1,0761.7%
- Ehsan Arjmand · People's2560.4%
- Margin over second
- 26.1 pts
- Turnout
- 71.7%
2021 election, on today's map · Liberal by 15.3 pts
Estimated. 2021 was fought on the old 338-seat map, so these are its votes transposed onto today's boundaries: a notional result, not a count.
- LiberalMost votes24,44744.7%
- Conservative16,07129.4%
- NDP10,42219.1%
- Green2,3354.3%
- People's1,4082.6%
- Margin over second
- 15.3 pts
- Turnout
- 64.2%
If an election were held today
Our latest projection from published polls.
ShareWin
- Liberal60%>99%
- Conservative20%<1%
- NDP14%<1%
- Green3%<1%
- People's2%<1%
Bar: central estimate. Line beneath: the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). Win: chance of taking the seat.
Who lives here
Mostly the 2021 Census. Ranks compare all 343 ridings, 1st being the highest; the bar shows where this one sits.
Where it stands out
Self-employed21.9%15th of 343
Money and housing
Renters and owners
- Renters 39.2%
- Owners 60.0%
- Median income
- $71,70020th of 343
- Average 2-bedroom rent
- $1,410/mo199th of 343Estimated: 2021 Census differences scaled to CMHC's fall 2025 rents.
- Households in shelter stress
- 33.0%19th of 343
- Renters
- 39.2%86th of 343
- Unemployment
- 8.1%tied 259th of 343
- Income from government transfers
- 6.9%tied 323rd of 343
People
Age
- Under 35 13.5%
- 35 to 64 56.3%
- 65 and over 30.2%
- Immigrants
- 38.2%66th of 343
- Recent immigrants
- 5.5%89th of 343Arrived 2016 to 2021.
- Visible minority
- 36.1%96th of 343
- Indigenous
- 2.9%163rd of 343
- Know French
- 9.9%148th of 343
- Population density
- 348/km²170th of 343
More: work, hazards and federal spending
Work and education
Education, ages 25 to 64
- No diploma 2.6%
- High school 17.2%
- College or trades 26.3%
- Bachelor's 33.4%
- Postgraduate 20.5%
- Public sector
- 24.1%227th of 343
- Finance and professional
- 21.0%32nd of 343
- Trades and transport jobs
- 11.2%296th of 343
- Manufacturing
- 3.7%tied 302nd of 343
- Natural resources
- 1.0%207th of 343
- Self-employed
- 21.9%15th of 343
Hazards
- Flood risk
- ModerateIndex 24.7 of 100
- Wildfire risk
- LowIndex 0 (Canada = 100)
- Crime severity (metro area)
- AverageIndex 104.3 (Canada = 100)
Federal spending
- Federal spending, yearly average
- $383.7K/yr
- Canada Community-Building Fund
- $6.3M/yr
- Area
- 330 km²
Ridings like this one
The closest to this one on six census measures, from anywhere in the country.
- Winnipeg WestLiberal· ManitobaSimilar share under 35 and average rent
- Brossard—Saint-LambertLiberal· QuebecSimilar share under 35 and average rent
- YellowheadConservative· AlbertaSimilar median income and population density
- Sherwood Park—Fort SaskatchewanConservative· AlbertaSimilar median income and population density