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ONSAFEOntario
Ottawa Centre
Y
Yasir Naqvi
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal67%±6%·>99% win
NDP20%±5%·<1% win
Conservative8%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's1%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Bachelor's+
66.3%
#5 of 343top 5%
Median income
$76,700
Renters
58.7%
Under 35
32.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 45.7%
Area
42 km²
GE45 result
Margin
43.1%
Competitive
56.9/100
Key issues
Housing affordability58.7% renters
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#13
Median income
$76,700
top 5%#125
Avg 2BR rent
$1635/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T176
Unemployment
10.0%
#76
Shelter stressed
26.2%
top 25%#27
Renters
58.7%
top 10%Age distribution
Under 35
32.0%#10
35–64
46.1%
65+
21.9%#291
Housing tenure
Renters
58.7%#27
Owners
41.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
3.8%#327
High school
12.4%#335
College/trades
17.4%#340
Bachelor's
34.4%#22
Postgrad
32.0%#3
People & Economy
#88
French knowledge
41.1%
#150
Immigrants
21.3%
#156
Recent arrivals
3.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#149
Visible minority
24.1%
#179
Indigenous
2.5%
#T327
Govt. transfers
6.6%
bottom 5%#218
Self-employed
12.4%
Industry of employment
Public sector45.7%
Finance & prof16.9%
Trades & transport6.2%
Manufacturing2.2%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 52.2 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$56.7M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$13.4M/yr
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