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QCSAFEQuebec
Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs
M
Marc Miller
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal66%±7%·>99% win
Conservative11%±5%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois9%±5%·<1% win
NDP8%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's1%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
40.5%
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$64,700
Renters
66.4%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 29.2%
Area
27 km²
GE45 result
Margin
44.9%
Competitive
55.1/100
Key issues
Housing affordability66.4% renters
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T43
Median income
$64,700
top 25%#154
Avg 2BR rent
$1538/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T109
Unemployment
11.7%
#9
Shelter stressed
36.8%
top 5%#11
Renters
66.4%
top 5%Age distribution
Under 35
40.5%#2
35–64
42.0%
65+
17.4%#330
Housing tenure
Renters
66.4%#11
Owners
33.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.8%#304
High school
9.8%#341
College/trades
20.1%#334
Bachelor's
32.4%#35
Postgrad
32.9%#2
People & Economy
#78
French knowledge
74.0%
top 25%#90
Immigrants
32.6%
#29
Recent arrivals
7.9%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#65
Visible minority
44.0%
top 25%#295
Indigenous
0.8%
bottom 25%#T311
Govt. transfers
7.7%
bottom 10%#102
Self-employed
15.9%
Industry of employment
Finance & prof29.2%
Public sector22.4%
Trades & transport6.0%
Manufacturing5.4%
Resources0.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 69.0 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$99.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.2M/yr
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