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ONLEANOntario
Pickering—Brooklin
J
Juanita Nathan
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal58%±6%·>99% win
Conservative31%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2038/mo
#39 of 343top 25%
Median income
$62,750
Renters
13.3%
Under 35
10.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.0%
Area
307 km²
GE45 result
Margin
13.0%
Competitive
87.0/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare25.0% aged 65+
Employment12.4% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T55
Median income
$62,750
top 25%#39
Avg 2BR rent
$2038/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T78
Unemployment
12.4%
top 25%#T113
Shelter stressed
22.7%
#336
Renters
13.3%
bottom 5%Age distribution
Under 35
10.1%#317
35–64
64.9%
65+
25.0%#233
Housing tenure
Renters
13.3%#336
Owners
86.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.3%#295
High school
22.6%#186
College/trades
33.4%#192
Bachelor's
27.1%#83
Postgrad
11.6%#T130
People & Economy
#174
French knowledge
7.8%
#93
Immigrants
32.4%
#176
Recent arrivals
2.6%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#60
Visible minority
45.6%
top 25%#T274
Indigenous
1.2%
bottom 25%#T286
Govt. transfers
8.9%
bottom 25%#151
Self-employed
14.3%
Industry of employment
Public sector25.0%
Finance & prof18.7%
Trades & transport15.2%
Manufacturing6.0%
Resources0.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 29.2 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.9M/yr
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