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BCTOSSUPBC
Richmond East—Steveston
P
Parm Bains
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal47%±6%·93% win
Conservative37%±6%·7% win
NDP11%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
21.1%
#16 of 343top 5%
Median income
$48,360
Renters
26.6%
Under 35
12.6%
Top industry
Public sector · 21.5%
Area
125 km²
GE45 result
Margin
2.0%
Competitive
98.0/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.4% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement57.6% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T237
Median income
$48,360
#T50
Avg 2BR rent
$1989/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T148
Unemployment
10.6%
#34
Shelter stressed
30.4%
top 10%#185
Renters
26.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
12.6%#254
35–64
58.0%
65+
29.4%#137
Housing tenure
Renters
26.6%#185
Owners
73.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.3%#265
High school
24.1%#159
College/trades
25.6%#292
Bachelor's
30.7%#48
Postgrad
13.3%#105
People & Economy
#284
French knowledge
4.9%
bottom 25%#11
Immigrants
57.6%
top 5%#79
Recent arrivals
5.8%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#13
Visible minority
77.9%
top 5%#T304
Indigenous
0.7%
bottom 25%#T248
Govt. transfers
10.3%
#71
Self-employed
17.5%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector21.5%#295
Finance & prof15.7%#80
Trades & transport13.9%#262
Manufacturing5.9%#229
Resources1.2%#198
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 60.8 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 7 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$44.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.9M/yr
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