BCSWINGBC

Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee

Scott Anderson

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative43%±6%·69% win

Liberal39%±6%·31% win

NDP12%±6%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Construction

12.3%

#14 of 343top 5%

Median income

$50,760

Renters

23.5%

Under 35

11.1%

Top industry

Public sector · 23.1%

Area

15,147 km²

GE45 result

Margin

7.6%

Competitive

92.4/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare36.6% aged 65+

Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 356 (Canada avg 100)

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#195

Median income

$50,760

#73

Avg 2BR rent

$1882/mo

top 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T226

Unemployment

8.8%

#148

Shelter stressed

21.0%

#236

Renters

23.5%

Age distribution

Under 35

11.1%#287

35–64

52.4%

65+

36.6%#28

Housing tenure

Renters

23.5%#236

Owners

76.4%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

9.7%#T171

High school

30.8%#43

College/trades

39.5%#T103

Bachelor's

13.5%#262

Postgrad

6.5%#229

People & Economy

#T231

French knowledge

6.2%

#213

Immigrants

11.6%

#T257

Recent arrivals

1.0%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#258

Visible minority

5.9%

bottom 25%

#70

Indigenous

7.5%

top 25%

#T122

Govt. transfers

14.7%

#27

Self-employed

20.6%

top 10%

Industry of employment

Public sector23.1%

Trades & transport22.2%

Finance & prof9.0%

Manufacturing7.1%

Resources5.8%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 21.8 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Extreme

Index: 356 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 91.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$112.8M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$2.0M/yr

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