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BCSWINGBC
Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee
S
Scott Anderson
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative43%±6%·71% win
Liberal39%±6%·29% win
NDP12%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Construction
12.3%
#14 of 343top 5%
Median income
$50,760
Renters
23.5%
Under 35
11.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 23.1%
Area
15,147 km²
GE45 result
Margin
7.6%
Competitive
92.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare36.6% aged 65+
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 356 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#195
Median income
$50,760
#73
Avg 2BR rent
$1882/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T226
Unemployment
8.8%
#148
Shelter stressed
21.0%
#236
Renters
23.5%
Age distribution
Under 35
11.1%#287
35–64
52.4%
65+
36.6%#28
Housing tenure
Renters
23.5%#236
Owners
76.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.7%#T171
High school
30.8%#43
College/trades
39.5%#T103
Bachelor's
13.5%#262
Postgrad
6.5%#229
People & Economy
#T231
French knowledge
6.2%
#213
Immigrants
11.6%
#T257
Recent arrivals
1.0%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#258
Visible minority
5.9%
bottom 25%#70
Indigenous
7.5%
top 25%#T122
Govt. transfers
14.7%
#27
Self-employed
20.6%
top 10%Industry of employment
Public sector23.1%#250
Trades & transport22.2%#65
Finance & prof9.0%#206
Manufacturing7.1%#T183
Resources5.8%#86
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 21.8 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 356 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 91.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$112.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$2.0M/yr
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