BCSAFEBC

Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies

Rob Morrison

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative44%±6%·>99% win

Liberal26%±5%·<1% win

NDP24%±5%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Retail & service

20.7%

#21 of 343top 10%

Median income

$51,550

Renters

22.5%

Under 35

13.6%

Top industry

Public sector · 23.5%

Area

41,086 km²

GE45 result

Margin

22.2%

Competitive

77.8/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare34.2% aged 65+

Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 494 (Canada avg 100)

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T182

Median income

$51,550

#96

Avg 2BR rent

$1780/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T264

Unemployment

8.0%

bottom 25%

#246

Shelter stressed

15.2%

#244

Renters

22.5%

Age distribution

Under 35

13.6%#211

35–64

52.2%

65+

34.2%#53

Housing tenure

Renters

22.5%#244

Owners

77.3%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

8.3%#T216

High school

29.5%#T67

College/trades

40.3%#T88

Bachelor's

15.0%#229

Postgrad

7.0%#218

People & Economy

#226

French knowledge

6.4%

#225

Immigrants

10.3%

#232

Recent arrivals

1.4%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#274

Visible minority

4.8%

bottom 25%

#67

Indigenous

8.0%

top 25%

#T154

Govt. transfers

13.7%

#56

Self-employed

18.5%

top 25%

Industry of employment

Public sector23.5%

Trades & transport23.3%

Resources11.3%

Finance & prof7.5%

Manufacturing6.8%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 16.4 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Extreme

Index: 494 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 104.3 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$5.5M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$0.1M/yr

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