A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal68%±7%·>99% win
Conservative13%±5%·<1% win
NDP7%±5%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois7%±5%·<1% win
Green2%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Renters
67.7%
#10 of 343top 5%
Median income
$39,560
Under 35
12.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.2%
Area
20 km²
GE45 result
Margin
44.7%
Competitive
55.3/100
Key issues
Housing affordability67.7% renters
Seniors & healthcare29.2% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement47.7% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#338 / 343
Median income
$39,560
bottom 5%
#304 / 343
Avg 2BR rent
$1036/mo
bottom 25%
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T106 / 343
Unemployment
11.8%
#156 / 343
Shelter stressed
20.6%
#10 / 343
Renters
67.7%
top 5%
Age distribution
Under 35
12.8%#T247
35–64
58.0%
65+
29.2%#145
Housing tenure
Renters
67.7%#10
Owners
32.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
17.9%#T23
High school
18.2%#260
College/trades
38.3%#128
Bachelor's
16.2%#211
Postgrad
9.4%#T166
People & Economy
#59 / 343
French knowledge
90.5%
top 25%
#38 / 343
Immigrants
47.7%
top 25%
#62 / 343
Recent arrivals
6.3%
top 25%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#41 / 343
Visible minority
54.9%
top 25%
#325 / 343
Indigenous
0.4%
bottom 10%
#10 / 343
Govt. transfers
23.0%
top 5%
#276 / 343
Self-employed
10.8%
bottom 25%
Industry of employment
Public sector26.2%#T164
Trades & transport14.7%#249
Manufacturing11.5%#55
Finance & prof10.4%#173
Resources0.4%#T286
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.