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ABSAFEPrairies
St. Albert—Sturgeon River
M
Michael Cooper
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative56%±6%·>99% win
Liberal33%±5%·<1% win
NDP7%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Construction
12.1%
#17 of 343top 5%
Median income
$65,600
Renters
15.7%
Under 35
13.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 30.6%
Area
4,477 km²
GE45 result
Margin
34.0%
Competitive
66.0/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare27.4% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T38
Median income
$65,600
top 25%#118
Avg 2BR rent
$1663/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T191
Unemployment
9.6%
#209
Shelter stressed
17.5%
#T323
Renters
15.7%
bottom 10%Age distribution
Under 35
13.0%#T237
35–64
59.6%
65+
27.4%#182
Housing tenure
Renters
15.7%#T323
Owners
83.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.8%#T227
High school
26.4%#127
College/trades
42.1%#T62
Bachelor's
17.4%#197
Postgrad
6.3%#235
People & Economy
#155
French knowledge
8.9%
#238
Immigrants
9.4%
#245
Recent arrivals
1.2%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#229
Visible minority
7.7%
#61
Indigenous
8.6%
top 25%#T278
Govt. transfers
9.1%
bottom 25%#T117
Self-employed
15.6%
Industry of employment
Public sector30.6%
Trades & transport22.1%
Finance & prof9.7%
Resources5.4%
Manufacturing4.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 20.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 8 (avg = 100)
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