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BCSWINGBC
Surrey Newton
S
Sukh Dhaliwal
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal48%±6%·98% win
Conservative34%±5%·2% win
NDP13%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Pop. density
4057.6/km²
#29 of 343top 10%
Median income
$40,960
Renters
34.2%
Under 35
17.8%
Top industry
Retail & service · 19.7%
Area
29 km²
GE45 result
Margin
5.5%
Competitive
94.5/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement50.2% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#328
Median income
$40,960
bottom 5%#T79
Avg 2BR rent
$1846/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T214
Unemployment
9.1%
#T73
Shelter stressed
26.2%
top 25%#109
Renters
34.2%
Age distribution
Under 35
17.8%#T99
35–64
62.5%
65+
19.7%#315
Housing tenure
Renters
34.2%#109
Owners
65.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
14.2%#61
High school
31.8%#30
College/trades
24.0%#308
Bachelor's
18.8%#172
Postgrad
11.1%#142
People & Economy
#337
French knowledge
2.8%
bottom 5%#30
Immigrants
50.2%
top 10%#20
Recent arrivals
8.3%
top 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#7
Visible minority
84.0%
top 5%#T236
Indigenous
1.6%
#T154
Govt. transfers
13.7%
#T173
Self-employed
13.6%
Industry of employment
Trades & transport28.8%
Public sector18.3%
Manufacturing8.1%
Finance & prof7.9%
Resources2.1%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 12.3 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$165.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.1M/yr
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