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ONSWINGOntario
Willowdale
A
Ali Ehsassi
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal57%±6%·>99% win
Conservative34%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Shelter stressed
42.5%
#1 of 343top 5%
Median income
$55,050
Renters
42.0%
Under 35
23.8%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 28.8%
Area
21 km²
GE45 result
Margin
9.4%
Competitive
90.6/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement60.2% immigrants
Employment12.7% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T121
Median income
$55,050
#11
Avg 2BR rent
$2514/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T65
Unemployment
12.7%
top 25%#1
Shelter stressed
42.5%
top 5%#77
Renters
42.0%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
23.8%#32
35–64
51.3%
65+
24.9%#T235
Housing tenure
Renters
42.0%#77
Owners
58.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
3.0%#336
High school
13.2%#331
College/trades
17.9%#338
Bachelor's
39.7%#2
Postgrad
26.2%#11
People & Economy
#224
French knowledge
6.5%
#7
Immigrants
60.2%
top 5%#2
Recent arrivals
11.8%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#24
Visible minority
71.0%
top 10%#T336
Indigenous
0.3%
bottom 5%#T288
Govt. transfers
8.8%
bottom 25%#53
Self-employed
18.6%
top 25%Industry of employment
Finance & prof28.8%
Public sector21.9%
Trades & transport8.5%
Manufacturing5.6%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 22.5 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 76.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$129.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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