Cumberland
MLA: Jordan McPhail · Saskatchewan NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.
Saskatchewan NDP>99% chance of winning
- Saskatchewan NDP · 57.5% projected vote>99%
- Saskatchewan Party · 35.4% projected vote<1%
2024 result
- Jordan McPhail · Saskatchewan NDPelected2,28955.1%
- Gregory Seib · Saskatchewan Party1,64239.5%
- Siwichis Bird-Paddy · Green1734.2%
- Nasser Dean Chalifoux · Independent501.2%
- Margin
- 15.6%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 29.4%
- Registered
- 14,110
2020 result, moved onto today's map
Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.
- Saskatchewan NDP2,80766.5%
- Saskatchewan Party1,29630.7%
- Green1162.8%
Constituency at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.
- Median household income
- $73,50045 of 61
- Average rent
- $88847 of 61
- Renters
- 19.3%39 of 61
- Bachelor's or higher
- 9.2%59 of 61
- Median age
- 27.261 of 61
- Over 65
- 8.5%59 of 61
- Visible minority
- 2.4%55 of 61
- Immigrants
- 2.2%59 of 61
- Indigenous identity
- 81.0%2 of 61
- Unemployment
- 16.0%3 of 61
Statistics Canada did not complete the 2021 count on reserves in this constituency (Kinoosao-Thomas Clark 204), so its population and Indigenous share are undercounts.
Closest races, Northeast and North Central
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.