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Northeast and North CentralSafeRural

Saskatchewan Rivers

MLA: Eric Schmalz · Saskatchewan Party

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan Party99% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan Party · 53.1% projected vote99%
  • Saskatchewan NDP · 34.3% projected vote1%

2024 result

  • Eric Schmalz · Saskatchewan Partyelected3,94553.7%
  • Doug Racine · Saskatchewan NDP2,06928.1%
  • Nadine Wilson · Sask United82411.2%
  • Bernard Lalonde · Progressive Conservative4245.8%
  • Alesha Bruce · Green871.2%
Margin
25.5%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
57.0%
Registered
12,888

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party4,53163.0%
  • Saskatchewan NDP1,94127.0%
  • Progressive Conservative3424.8%
  • Buffalo2583.6%
  • Green1161.6%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$78,00035 of 61
Average rent
$75460 of 61
Renters
8.1%61 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
11.9%43 of 61
Median age
43.510 of 61
Over 65
20.7%21 of 61
Visible minority
0.5%60 of 61
Immigrants
2.0%60 of 61
Indigenous identity
41.9%5 of 61
Unemployment
8.9%21 of 61

Closest races, Northeast and North Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.