Estevan-Big Muddy
MLA: Lori Carr · Saskatchewan Party
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.
Saskatchewan Party>99% chance of winning
- Saskatchewan Party · 73.3% projected vote>99%
2024 result
- Lori Carr · Saskatchewan Partyelected5,27770.0%
- Phil Smith · Saskatchewan NDP97312.9%
- Phillip Zajac · Buffalo75510.0%
- Andrew Cey · Sask United4536.0%
- Billy Patterson · Green841.1%
- Margin
- 57.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 57.4%
- Registered
- 13,147
2020 result, moved onto today's map
Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.
- Saskatchewan Party5,22164.8%
- Buffalo1,79222.2%
- Saskatchewan NDP5526.9%
- Progressive Conservative3544.4%
- Green1361.7%
Constituency at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.
- Median household income
- $93,00017 of 61
- Average rent
- $95139 of 61
- Renters
- 22.3%31 of 61
- Bachelor's or higher
- 11.3%50 of 61
- Median age
- 39.730 of 61
- Over 65
- 16.7%35 of 61
- Visible minority
- 9.5%34 of 61
- Immigrants
- 9.2%34 of 61
- Indigenous identity
- 5.8%50 of 61
- Unemployment
- 6.6%41 of 61
Closest races, South and Southwest
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.