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South and SouthwestLeanUrban

Moose Jaw Wakamow

MLA: Megan Patterson · Saskatchewan Party

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan Party75% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan Party · 49.7% projected vote75%
  • Saskatchewan NDP · 44.2% projected vote25%

2024 result

  • Megan Patterson · Saskatchewan Partyelected3,81955.0%
  • Melissa Patterson · Saskatchewan NDP2,89441.7%
  • Michael Gardiner · Green2283.3%
Margin
13.3%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
52.4%
Registered
13,249

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party3,60853.9%
  • Saskatchewan NDP2,68740.1%
  • Progressive Conservative2393.6%
  • Green1492.2%
  • Buffalo100.1%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$66,00057 of 61
Average rent
$89746 of 61
Renters
37.4%13 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
11.4%49 of 61
Median age
42.916 of 61
Over 65
22.1%11 of 61
Visible minority
7.8%36 of 61
Immigrants
8.3%35 of 61
Indigenous identity
8.4%38 of 61
Unemployment
10.6%11 of 61

Closest races, South and Southwest

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.