Rosthern-Shellbrook
MLA: Scott Moe · Saskatchewan Party
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.
Saskatchewan Party>99% chance of winning
- Saskatchewan Party · 60.4% projected vote>99%
2024 result
- Scott Moe · Saskatchewan Partyelected5,27964.2%
- Mark Thunderchild · Saskatchewan NDP1,82622.2%
- Cody Lockhart · Sask United1,03112.5%
- Janice Dongworth · Green891.1%
- Margin
- 42.0%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 61.6%
- Registered
- 13,343
2020 result, moved onto today's map
Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.
- Saskatchewan Party6,39479.7%
- Saskatchewan NDP1,18514.8%
- Green1752.2%
- Buffalo1441.8%
- Progressive Conservative1291.6%
Constituency at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.
- Median household income
- $68,00053 of 61
- Average rent
- $82652 of 61
- Renters
- 14.8%48 of 61
- Bachelor's or higher
- 11.5%47 of 61
- Median age
- 44.37 of 61
- Over 65
- 23.1%7 of 61
- Visible minority
- 3.7%47 of 61
- Immigrants
- 4.7%49 of 61
- Indigenous identity
- 24.6%12 of 61
- Unemployment
- 6.5%43 of 61
Closest races, Northwest and West Central
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.