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Saskatoon–MartensvilleSafeUrban

Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood

MLA: Keith Jorgenson · Saskatchewan NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan NDP · 59.3% projected vote>99%
  • Saskatchewan Party · 36.1% projected vote<1%

2024 result

  • Keith Jorgenson · Saskatchewan NDPelected4,62157.7%
  • Lisa Lambert · Saskatchewan Party3,26240.7%
  • Morgan McAdam · Green1301.6%
Margin
17.0%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
62.7%
Registered
12,779

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party4,00049.4%
  • Saskatchewan NDP3,76546.5%
  • Progressive Conservative1982.4%
  • Green1381.7%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$68,50051 of 61
Average rent
$1,12922 of 61
Renters
42.4%10 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
31.3%14 of 61
Median age
43.88 of 61
Over 65
27.8%1 of 61
Visible minority
24.0%14 of 61
Immigrants
20.9%10 of 61
Indigenous identity
7.5%42 of 61
Unemployment
9.5%17 of 61

Closest races, Saskatoon–Martensville

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.