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Saskatoon–MartensvilleSafeUrban

Saskatoon Stonebridge

MLA: Darcy Warrington · Saskatchewan NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan NDP99% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan NDP · 56.7% projected vote99%
  • Saskatchewan Party · 39.0% projected vote1%

2024 result

  • Darcy Warrington · Saskatchewan NDPelected4,17754.3%
  • Bronwyn Eyre · Saskatchewan Party3,33643.4%
  • Cheryl Mazil · Green961.3%
  • Jahangir J Valiani · Progress (Liberal)841.1%
Margin
10.9%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
62.1%
Registered
12,395

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party3,46256.5%
  • Saskatchewan NDP2,41139.4%
  • Green1602.6%
  • Buffalo941.5%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$100,00010 of 61
Average rent
$1,5153 of 61
Renters
31.1%19 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
40.6%5 of 61
Median age
34.555 of 61
Over 65
11.9%52 of 61
Visible minority
31.8%5 of 61
Immigrants
23.0%9 of 61
Indigenous identity
7.3%45 of 61
Unemployment
7.3%34 of 61

Closest races, Saskatoon–Martensville

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.