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Calgary-Bow

MLA: Demetrios Nicolaides · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP77% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 47.3% projected vote77%
  • United Conservative · 41.8% projected vote23%

2023 result

  • Demetrios Nicolaides · United Conservativeelected13,17549.7%
  • Druh Farrell · Alberta NDP12,55247.4%
  • Paul Godard · Progressive Tory6702.5%
  • Manuel Santos · Other890.3%
Margin
2.4%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
66.3%
Registered
39,963

2019 result

  • Demetrios Nicolaides · United Conservativeelected13,98755.9%
  • Deborah Drever · Alberta NDP8,54834.2%
  • Paul Godard · Progressive Tory1,7747.1%
  • Daniel Ejumabone · Liberal3201.3%
  • Marion Westoll · Green2330.9%
  • Regina Shakirova · Other1610.6%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$112,00018 of 87
Average rent
$1,46629 of 87
Renters
24.1%42 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
42.5%11 of 87
Median age
40.030 of 87
Over 65
14.4%51 of 87
Visible minority
27.4%37 of 87
Immigrants
25.1%35 of 87
Indigenous identity
3.9%61 of 87
Unemployment
12.0%34 of 87

Closest races, Calgary

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.