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CalgarySwingUrban

Calgary-Peigan

MLA: Tanya Fir · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative74% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 47.1% projected vote74%
  • Alberta NDP · 42.2% projected vote26%

2023 result

  • Tanya Fir · United Conservativeelected11,89255.0%
  • Denis Ram · Alberta NDP9,09542.1%
  • Shaun Pulsifer · Green6262.9%
Margin
12.9%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
62.7%
Registered
34,455

2019 result

  • Tanya Fir · United Conservativeelected13,35359.8%
  • Joe Pimlott · Alberta NDP6,52729.3%
  • Ronald Reinhold · Progressive Tory1,5346.9%
  • Jaro Giesbrecht · Liberal4251.9%
  • Sheyne Espey · Other2991.3%
  • Will Hatch · Other1800.8%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$100,00038 of 87
Average rent
$1,37242 of 87
Renters
22.1%49 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
23.1%41 of 87
Median age
43.011 of 87
Over 65
16.4%33 of 87
Visible minority
23.4%44 of 87
Immigrants
21.9%41 of 87
Indigenous identity
5.0%49 of 87
Unemployment
12.5%26 of 87

Closest races, Calgary

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.