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CalgarySafeUrban

Calgary-Buffalo

MLA: Joe Ceci · Alberta NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 62.7% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Joe Ceci · Alberta NDPelected13,22163.0%
  • Astrid Kuhn · United Conservative7,29234.8%
  • Jonathan Parks · Green3491.7%
  • Lona Henry · Other1250.6%
Margin
28.3%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
57.9%
Registered
36,266

2019 result

  • Joe Ceci · Alberta NDPelected11,29248.9%
  • Tom Olsen · United Conservative9,05039.2%
  • Omar Masood · Progressive Tory1,5976.9%
  • Jennifer Khan · Liberal5902.5%
  • Heather Morigeau · Green4361.9%
  • Cory Hetherington · Other1470.6%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$69,50084 of 87
Average rent
$1,32448 of 87
Renters
72.0%2 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
50.5%5 of 87
Median age
35.071 of 87
Over 65
11.8%69 of 87
Visible minority
39.2%24 of 87
Immigrants
32.5%23 of 87
Indigenous identity
3.3%66 of 87
Unemployment
12.2%28 of 87

Closest races, Calgary

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.