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Calgary-Elbow
MLA: Samir Kayande · Alberta NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
Alberta NDP92% chance of winning
- Alberta NDP · 49.2% projected vote92%
- United Conservative · 38.4% projected vote8%
2023 result
- Samir Kayande · Alberta NDPelected12,18949.0%
- Chris Davis · United Conservative11,44646.0%
- Kerry Cundal · Progressive Tory1,1364.6%
- Artur Pawlowski · Other990.4%
- Margin
- 3.0%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 68.4%
- Registered
- 36,337
2019 result
- Doug Schweitzer · United Conservativeelected10,95144.3%
- Greg Clark · Progressive Tory7,54230.5%
- Janet Eremenko · Alberta NDP5,79623.5%
- Robin Mackintosh · Liberal2751.1%
- Quinn Rupert · Green1320.5%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $97,00040 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,39839 of 87
- Renters
- 40.8%10 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 51.2%2 of 87
- Median age
- 39.043 of 87
- Over 65
- 15.0%45 of 87
- Visible minority
- 20.7%47 of 87
- Immigrants
- 19.9%45 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 3.0%75 of 87
- Unemployment
- 10.8%54 of 87
Closest races, Calgary
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.