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CalgaryLeanUrban

Calgary-North West

MLA: Rajan Sawhney · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP83% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 48.5% projected vote83%
  • United Conservative · 41.3% projected vote17%

2023 result

  • Rajan Sawhney · United Conservativeelected11,92148.3%
  • Michael Lisboa-Smith · Alberta NDP11,77847.7%
  • Jenny Yeremiy · Progressive Tory7783.1%
  • Serena Thomsen · Independent1530.6%
  • Alain Habel · Other450.2%
Margin
0.6%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
69.3%
Registered
35,595

2019 result

  • Sonya Savage · United Conservativeelected13,56556.7%
  • Hafeez Chishti · Alberta NDP7,61131.8%
  • Andrew Bradley · Progressive Tory2,1719.1%
  • Cam Khan · Other2621.1%
  • Prerna Mahtani · Liberal2581.1%
  • Roberta McDonald · Independent690.3%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$132,0004 of 87
Average rent
$1,8222 of 87
Renters
13.0%84 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
45.6%7 of 87
Median age
40.033 of 87
Over 65
13.2%59 of 87
Visible minority
33.4%29 of 87
Immigrants
29.2%28 of 87
Indigenous identity
2.2%82 of 87
Unemployment
11.2%46 of 87

Closest races, Calgary

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.