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CalgarySafeUrban

Calgary-South East

MLA: Matt Jones · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative90% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 45.9% projected vote90%
  • Alberta NDP · 36.3% projected vote10%

2023 result

  • Matt Jones · United Conservativeelected14,08758.8%
  • Justin Huseby · Alberta NDP9,44239.4%
  • Catriona Wright · Green3181.3%
  • Heinrich Friesen · Other1040.4%
Margin
19.4%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
62.5%
Registered
38,310

2019 result

  • Matt Jones · United Conservativeelected12,86061.2%
  • Heather Eddy · Alberta NDP3,98319.0%
  • Rick Fraser · Progressive Tory3,81018.1%
  • Leila Keith · Liberal2241.1%
  • Richard Fontaine · Other1340.6%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$125,0006 of 87
Average rent
$1,7383 of 87
Renters
19.6%63 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
36.2%22 of 87
Median age
35.072 of 87
Over 65
7.8%85 of 87
Visible minority
32.4%31 of 87
Immigrants
27.7%29 of 87
Indigenous identity
3.2%70 of 87
Unemployment
9.2%75 of 87

Closest races, Calgary

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.