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CalgaryLeanUrban

Calgary-West

MLA: Mike Ellis · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative81% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 49.1% projected vote81%
  • Alberta NDP · 42.3% projected vote19%

2023 result

  • Mike Ellis · United Conservativeelected12,79356.7%
  • Joan Chand'oiseau · Alberta NDP9,46841.9%
  • Jason McKee · Green3131.4%
Margin
14.7%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
66.1%
Registered
34,156

2019 result

  • Mike Ellis · United Conservativeelected14,97866.1%
  • Gulshan Akter · Alberta NDP5,76925.5%
  • Frank Penkala · Progressive Tory1,5957.0%
  • Yasna Oluic-Kovacevic · Liberal3091.4%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$142,0002 of 87
Average rent
$1,8661 of 87
Renters
13.4%83 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
51.4%1 of 87
Median age
43.012 of 87
Over 65
15.8%39 of 87
Visible minority
38.8%25 of 87
Immigrants
33.8%18 of 87
Indigenous identity
1.4%87 of 87
Unemployment
12.2%29 of 87

Closest races, Calgary

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.