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Edmonton-Castle Downs

MLA: Nicole Goehring · Alberta NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 55.8% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Nicole Goehring · Alberta NDPelected10,04455.7%
  • Jon Dziadyk · United Conservative7,28640.4%
  • Patrick Stewart · Progressive Tory7073.9%
Margin
15.3%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
53.5%
Registered
33,723

2019 result

  • Nicole Goehring · Alberta NDPelected9,44545.7%
  • Ed Ammar · United Conservative7,42835.9%
  • Moe Rahall · Progressive Tory3,21315.5%
  • Todd Wayne · Other2941.4%
  • Thomas Deak · Liberal2911.4%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$101,00035 of 87
Average rent
$1,42435 of 87
Renters
22.5%48 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
19.8%52 of 87
Median age
36.065 of 87
Over 65
12.9%62 of 87
Visible minority
46.0%16 of 87
Immigrants
31.8%26 of 87
Indigenous identity
5.2%46 of 87
Unemployment
13.3%18 of 87

Closest races, Edmonton

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.