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EdmontonSafeUrban

Edmonton-South West

MLA: Nathan Ip · Alberta NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 55.2% projected vote>99%
  • United Conservative · 33.7% projected vote<1%

2023 result

  • Nathan Ip · Alberta NDPelected14,38056.5%
  • Kaycee Madu · United Conservative10,74142.2%
  • Jeff Cullihall · Green3231.3%
Margin
14.3%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
61.4%
Registered
41,428

2019 result

  • Kaycee Madu · United Conservativeelected10,25445.0%
  • John Archer · Alberta NDP9,53941.9%
  • Mo Elsalhy · Progressive Tory2,66811.7%
  • Marilyn Burns · Other2080.9%
  • Rigel Vincent · Green1250.6%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$119,0009 of 87
Average rent
$1,63011 of 87
Renters
20.3%58 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
38.7%17 of 87
Median age
35.075 of 87
Over 65
8.0%82 of 87
Visible minority
50.2%10 of 87
Immigrants
37.5%13 of 87
Indigenous identity
3.2%69 of 87
Unemployment
9.7%68 of 87

Closest races, Edmonton

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.