Edmonton-Ellerslie
MLA: Gurtej Singh Brar · Alberta NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
Alberta NDP>99% chance of winning
- Alberta NDP · 62.3% projected vote>99%
2025 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Gurtej Singh Brar · Alberta NDPelected4,32850.9%
- Naresh Bhardwaj · United Conservative3,23338.0%
- Manpreet Tiwana · Liberal4104.8%
- Fred Munn · Republican2923.4%
- Caroline Currie · Progressive Tory2032.4%
- Pamela Henson · Other410.5%
2023 result
- Rod Loyola · Alberta NDPelected11,42961.8%
- R. Singh Bath · United Conservative6,81736.8%
- Angela Stretch · Other2641.4%
- Margin
- 24.9%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 55.6%
- Registered
- 33,278
2019 result
- Rod Loyola · Alberta NDPelected9,71751.0%
- Sanjay Patel · United Conservative7,23037.9%
- Hazelyn Williams · Progressive Tory1,2736.7%
- Mike McGowan · Liberal3902.0%
- Yash Sharma · Other2631.4%
- Brian S. Lockyer · Other1991.0%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $109,00026 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,52621 of 87
- Renters
- 24.3%39 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 34.5%23 of 87
- Median age
- 33.086 of 87
- Over 65
- 6.2%86 of 87
- Visible minority
- 67.3%5 of 87
- Immigrants
- 47.2%4 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 3.1%74 of 87
- Unemployment
- 11.0%48 of 87
Closest races, Edmonton
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.