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Edmonton-Gold Bar

MLA: Marlin Schmidt · Alberta NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 70.5% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Marlin Schmidt · Alberta NDPelected15,50869.5%
  • Miles Berry · United Conservative6,17427.7%
  • Graham Lettner · Independent3211.4%
  • Ernestina Malheiro · Green3161.4%
Margin
41.8%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
64.3%
Registered
34,730

2019 result

  • Marlin Schmidt · Alberta NDPelected14,56259.5%
  • David Dorward · United Conservative7,17429.3%
  • Diana Ly · Progressive Tory2,0088.2%
  • Steve Kochan · Liberal3151.3%
  • Tanya Herbert · Green2471.0%
  • Vincent Loyer · Other1760.7%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$87,00057 of 87
Average rent
$1,27255 of 87
Renters
36.3%18 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
31.1%26 of 87
Median age
42.016 of 87
Over 65
19.2%15 of 87
Visible minority
14.3%57 of 87
Immigrants
14.2%57 of 87
Indigenous identity
6.9%27 of 87
Unemployment
12.0%35 of 87

Closest races, Edmonton

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.