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Edmonton-Strathcona

MLA: Naheed Nenshi · Alberta NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 80.6% projected vote>99%

2025 by-election

Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.

  • Naheed K Nenshi · Alberta NDPelected7,94982.3%
  • Darby Crouch · United Conservative1,31313.6%
  • Don Slater · Liberal1952.0%
  • Samuel Petrov · Progressive Tory1161.2%
  • Ravina Chand · Republican660.7%
  • Jesse Stretch · Other240.3%

2023 result

  • Rachel Notley · Alberta NDPelected13,98079.7%
  • Emad El-Zein · United Conservative3,03217.3%
  • Robert Gooding-Townsend · Green3241.9%
  • Andrew Jacobson · Republican1060.6%
  • Robert Nielsen · Other930.5%
Margin
62.4%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
58.8%
Registered
29,841

2019 result

  • Rachel Notley · Alberta NDPelected14,72472.1%
  • Kulshan Gill · United Conservative3,48117.1%
  • Prem Pal · Progressive Tory1,1395.6%
  • Gary Horan · Other2971.4%
  • Samantha Hees · Liberal2391.2%
  • Stuart Andrews · Green2271.1%
  • Ian Smythe · Other860.4%
  • Don Edward Meister · Other620.3%
  • Naomi Rankin · Other610.3%
  • Dale Doan · Other570.3%
  • Gord McLean · Independent490.2%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$69,50085 of 87
Average rent
$1,26656 of 87
Renters
64.0%3 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
45.1%8 of 87
Median age
34.082 of 87
Over 65
13.5%55 of 87
Visible minority
29.9%33 of 87
Immigrants
21.4%42 of 87
Indigenous identity
6.0%38 of 87
Unemployment
13.1%19 of 87

Closest races, Edmonton

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.