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CharlottetownToss-upRural

Brackley-Hunter River

MLA: Kent Dollar · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Progressive Conservative59% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 36.3% projected vote59%
  • Green · 34.4% projected vote40%
  • Liberal · 22.7% projected vote<1%

2025 by-election

Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.

  • Kent Dollar · Progressive Conservativeelected1,14050.3%
  • Philip Hamming · Green53823.7%
  • Nicole Ford · Liberal52723.2%
  • Michelle Neill · PEI NDP632.8%

2023 result

  • Dennis King · Progressive Conservativeelected1,90368.2%
  • Greg Bradley · Green48317.3%
  • Nicole Ford · Liberal32111.5%
  • Leah-Jane Hayward · PEI NDP833.0%
Margin
50.9%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
70.1%
Registered
3,981

2019 result

  • Dennis King · Progressive Conservativeelected1,31541.8%
  • Windsor Wight · Liberal89928.5%
  • Greg Bradley · Green87927.9%
  • Leah-Jane Hayward · PEI NDP571.8%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$82,0267 of 27
Average rent
$97413 of 27
Renters
16.1%19 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
19.4%13 of 27
Median age
44.017 of 27
Over 65
17.6%26 of 27
Speak French
12.2%15 of 27
Immigrants
4.4%18 of 27
Indigenous identity
1.8%11 of 27
Unemployment
10.2%13 of 27

Closest races in Charlottetown

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.