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Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park

MLA: Carolyn Simpson · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Green83% chance of winning

  • Green · 36.8% projected vote83%
  • Liberal · 28.5% projected vote9%
  • Progressive Conservative · 26.4% projected vote8%

2025 by-election

Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.

  • Carolyn Simpson · Liberalelected97947.8%
  • Dennis Jameson · Progressive Conservative78438.3%
  • Janine Karpakis · Green23111.3%
  • Simone Webster · PEI NDP552.7%

2023 result

  • Natalie Jameson · Progressive Conservativeelected1,66061.9%
  • Adina Nault · Green52319.5%
  • Dellon Paul · Liberal35213.1%
  • Tristan Mitchell · PEI NDP1254.7%
  • Cari Barbour · Other210.8%
Margin
42.4%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
62.9%
Registered
4,261

2019 result

  • Natalie Jameson · Progressive Conservativeelected1,08043.7%
  • John Andrew · Green70928.7%
  • Karen Lavers · Liberal63525.7%
  • Gordon Gay · PEI NDP461.9%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$71,57219 of 27
Average rent
$1,1685 of 27
Renters
47.9%6 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
21.6%11 of 27
Median age
37.627 of 27
Over 65
17.9%24 of 27
Speak French
10.9%17 of 27
Immigrants
12.0%6 of 27
Indigenous identity
2.3%8 of 27
Unemployment
8.7%22 of 27

Closest races in Charlottetown

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.