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EgmontSwingRural
Evangeline-Miscouche
MLA: Gilles Arsenault · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.
Liberal68% chance of winning
- Liberal · 32.3% projected vote68%
- Green · 26.8% projected vote16%
- Independent · 16.4% projected vote11%
- Progressive Conservative · 19.3% projected vote5%
2023 result
- Gilles Arsenault · Progressive Conservativeelected1,38461.7%
- Pat MacLellan · Liberal54324.2%
- Jason Charette · Green27112.1%
- Charles Turriff · PEI NDP452.0%
- Margin
- 37.5%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 69.3%
- Registered
- 3,235
2019 result
- Sonny Gallant · Liberalelected1,10044.5%
- Nick Arsenault · Green76130.8%
- Jason Woodbury · Progressive Conservative57523.3%
- Grant Gallant · PEI NDP331.3%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.
- Median household income
- $74,74513 of 27
- Average rent
- $77821 of 27
- Renters
- 16.3%18 of 27
- Bachelor's or higher
- 8.7%25 of 27
- Median age
- 49.24 of 27
- Over 65
- 23.2%8 of 27
- Speak French
- 41.3%1 of 27
- Immigrants
- 3.2%23 of 27
- Indigenous identity
- 1.5%14 of 27
- Unemployment
- 9.7%15 of 27
Closest races in Egmont
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.