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EgmontSafeRural

Kensington-Malpeque

MLA: Matthew MacKay · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Progressive Conservative92% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 44.6% projected vote92%
  • Green · 32.6% projected vote8%

2023 result

  • Matthew MacKay · Progressive Conservativeelected2,29476.7%
  • Hunter Guindon · Green46315.5%
  • Richard Schroeter · Liberal1695.7%
  • Maggie Larocque · PEI NDP672.2%
Margin
61.2%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
70.6%
Registered
4,241

2019 result

  • Matthew MacKay · Progressive Conservativeelected2,00862.1%
  • Matthew J. MacKay · Green80524.9%
  • Nancy Beth Guptill · Liberal38912.0%
  • Carole MacFarlane · PEI NDP311.0%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$75,65812 of 27
Average rent
$89716 of 27
Renters
23.6%14 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
17.1%16 of 27
Median age
49.53 of 27
Over 65
23.7%5 of 27
Speak French
9.5%19 of 27
Immigrants
4.7%17 of 27
Indigenous identity
1.6%13 of 27
Unemployment
10.9%9 of 27

Closest races in Egmont

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.