← Map
QCSWINGQuebec
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou
M
Mandy Gull-Masty
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal44%±6%·96% win
Bloc Québécois32%±6%·4% win
Conservative14%±6%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
37.3%
#22 of 343top 10%
Median income
$53,050
Renters
39.9%
Under 35
20.5%
Top industry
Public sector · 37.3%
Area
858,585 km²
GE45 result
Margin
7.2%
Competitive
92.8/100
Key issues
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 374 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#159
Median income
$53,050
#336
Avg 2BR rent
$777/mo
bottom 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T312
Unemployment
6.2%
bottom 10%#329
Shelter stressed
9.8%
bottom 5%#84
Renters
39.9%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
20.5%#68
35–64
56.3%
65+
23.1%#T269
Housing tenure
Renters
39.9%#84
Owners
50.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
28.5%#4
High school
17.6%#269
College/trades
40.9%#80
Bachelor's
9.5%#338
Postgrad
3.5%#326
People & Economy
#80
French knowledge
71.3%
top 25%#328
Immigrants
1.6%
bottom 5%#T314
Recent arrivals
0.4%
bottom 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T312
Visible minority
2.5%
bottom 10%#7
Indigenous
39.6%
top 5%#T78
Govt. transfers
16.4%
top 25%#339
Self-employed
6.2%
bottom 5%Industry of employment
Public sector37.3%
Trades & transport20.9%
Resources12.3%
Manufacturing6.2%
Finance & prof4.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 22.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 374 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$46.3M/yr
Explore similar ridings
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord
CPCQC
Similar population density and unemployment rate
Explore →Abitibi—Témiscamingue
BQQC
Similar population density and unemployment rate
Explore →Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk
CPCON
Similar population density and median income
Explore →Souris—Moose Mountain
CPCSK
Similar population density and unemployment rate
Explore →