SKSAFEPrairies

Souris—Moose Mountain

Steven Bonk

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative75%±6%·>99% win

Liberal14%±4%·<1% win

NDP7%±4%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's1%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Resource sector

28.6%

#2 of 343top 5%

Median income

$54,850

Renters

19.8%

Under 35

17.8%

Top industry

Resources · 28.6%

Area

48,634 km²

GE45 result

Margin

74.2%

Competitive

25.8/100

Key issues

Energy & natural resources28.6% resource sector

Seniors & healthcare29.9% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#127

Median income

$54,850

#288

Avg 2BR rent

$1092/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T308

Unemployment

6.3%

bottom 25%

#282

Shelter stressed

13.4%

bottom 25%

#T277

Renters

19.8%

bottom 25%

Age distribution

Under 35

17.8%#97

35–64

52.3%

65+

29.9%#129

Housing tenure

Renters

19.8%#T277

Owners

77.0%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

11.4%#124

High school

38.5%#1

College/trades

35.8%#156

Bachelor's

11.5%#T297

Postgrad

2.8%#342

People & Economy

#338

French knowledge

2.8%

bottom 5%

#263

Immigrants

7.1%

bottom 25%

#192

Recent arrivals

2.3%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#236

Visible minority

6.8%

#52

Indigenous

10.1%

top 25%

#T198

Govt. transfers

11.8%

Self-employed

23.8%

top 5%

Industry of employment

Resources28.6%

Public sector22.2%

Trades & transport20.7%

Finance & prof5.5%

Manufacturing2.6%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 23.7 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 3 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Elevated

Index: 128.8 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$15.6M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$0.1M/yr

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