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BCLEANBC
Chilliwack—Hope
M
Mark Strahl
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative48%±6%·99% win
Liberal33%±5%·1% win
NDP14%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Construction
12.0%
#19 of 343top 10%
Median income
$48,560
Renters
24.7%
Under 35
14.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.0%
Area
6,955 km²
GE45 result
Margin
19.4%
Competitive
80.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare33.0% aged 65+
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 429 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T230
Median income
$48,560
#T146
Avg 2BR rent
$1565/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T284
Unemployment
7.1%
bottom 25%#150
Shelter stressed
20.9%
#219
Renters
24.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
14.2%#189
35–64
52.8%
65+
33.0%#T66
Housing tenure
Renters
24.7%#219
Owners
74.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.5%#122
High school
34.5%#5
College/trades
36.1%#152
Bachelor's
12.0%#290
Postgrad
6.0%#244
People & Economy
#309
French knowledge
4.3%
bottom 10%#T186
Immigrants
14.3%
#231
Recent arrivals
1.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#211
Visible minority
10.4%
#51
Indigenous
10.2%
top 25%#T105
Govt. transfers
15.5%
#60
Self-employed
18.2%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector26.0%#174
Trades & transport22.5%#T52
Manufacturing8.3%#149
Finance & prof7.4%#257
Resources5.6%#90
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 14.1 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 429 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 181.9 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.3M/yr
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