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SKSAFEPrairies
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
B
Buckley Belanger
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal68%±6%·>99% win
Conservative17%±5%·<1% win
NDP11%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Govt. transfers
26.8%
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$39,680
Renters
24.7%
Under 35
22.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 51.0%
Area
311,621 km²
GE45 result
Margin
39.6%
Competitive
60.4/100
Key issues
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 1551 (Canada avg 100)
Employment18.6% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#337
Median income
$39,680
bottom 5%#306
Avg 2BR rent
$1031/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#6
Unemployment
18.6%
top 5%#T315
Shelter stressed
11.0%
bottom 10%#216
Renters
24.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
22.4%#47
35–64
59.0%
65+
18.6%#323
Housing tenure
Renters
24.7%#216
Owners
35.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
39.9%#2
High school
26.8%#124
College/trades
23.3%#319
Bachelor's
7.5%#342
Postgrad
2.4%#343
People & Economy
#343
French knowledge
1.4%
bottom 5%#336
Immigrants
1.4%
bottom 5%#T295
Recent arrivals
0.6%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#331
Visible minority
1.6%
bottom 5%#1
Indigenous
86.9%
top 5%#2
Govt. transfers
26.8%
top 5%#340
Self-employed
5.2%
bottom 5%Industry of employment
Public sector51.0%
Trades & transport18.7%
Resources9.2%
Finance & prof1.8%
Manufacturing1.1%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 23.4 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 1551 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.0M/yr
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