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NSLEANAtlantic
Sydney—Glace Bay
M
Mike Kelloway
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal60%±6%·>99% win
Conservative29%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
19.4%
#5 of 343top 5%
Median income
$41,000
Renters
31.6%
Under 35
12.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 36.9%
Area
752 km²
GE45 result
Margin
16.5%
Competitive
83.5/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare37.3% aged 65+
Employment19.4% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#327
Median income
$41,000
bottom 5%#170
Avg 2BR rent
$1490/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#5
Unemployment
19.4%
top 5%#218
Shelter stressed
17.1%
#129
Renters
31.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
12.9%#245
35–64
49.7%
65+
37.3%#18
Housing tenure
Renters
31.6%#129
Owners
67.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
10.7%#T147
High school
27.6%#107
College/trades
40.0%#90
Bachelor's
15.0%#230
Postgrad
6.6%#222
People & Economy
#T316
French knowledge
4.1%
bottom 10%#323
Immigrants
2.3%
bottom 10%#T306
Recent arrivals
0.5%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#259
Visible minority
5.8%
bottom 25%#118
Indigenous
4.3%
#T6
Govt. transfers
25.2%
top 5%#338
Self-employed
7.0%
bottom 5%Industry of employment
Public sector36.9%
Trades & transport16.1%
Finance & prof5.5%
Resources3.7%
Manufacturing3.2%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 34 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.9M/yr
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