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ABLEANPrairies

Edmonton Northwest

BBilly Morin

Billy Morin

Conservative
Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative46%±6%·79% win
Liberal40%±5%·21% win
NDP8%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
19.6%
#47 of 343top 25%
Median income
$54,450
Renters
22.0%
Under 35
17.3%
Top industry
Public sector · 28.3%
Area
103 km²
GE45 result
Margin
15.1%
Competitive
84.9/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T131
Median income
$54,450
#117
Avg 2BR rent
$1665/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T84
Unemployment
12.3%
top 25%
#164
Shelter stressed
20.2%
#250
Renters
22.0%
Age distribution
Under 35
17.3%#110
35–64
61.9%
65+
20.7%#307
Housing tenure
Renters
22.0%#250
Owners
78.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
10.2%#157
High school
26.6%#125
College/trades
33.9%#188
Bachelor's
22.3%#132
Postgrad
7.0%#217
People & Economy
#261
French knowledge
5.5%
bottom 25%
#79
Immigrants
34.7%
top 25%
#78
Recent arrivals
5.8%
top 25%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#56
Visible minority
46.9%
top 25%
#92
Indigenous
5.5%
#T231
Govt. transfers
10.9%
#T252
Self-employed
11.5%
Industry of employment
Public sector28.3%
Trades & transport20.7%
Finance & prof9.3%
Manufacturing5.7%
Resources2.1%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Low
Index: 12.3 / 100
Crime severityStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Elevated
Index: 129.8 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$9.7M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.4M/yr