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ONLEANOntario
London West
A
Arielle Kayabaga
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal60%±6%·>99% win
Conservative28%±5%·<1% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
12.4%
#78 of 343top 25%
Median income
$55,250
Renters
35.2%
Under 35
15.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 30.7%
Area
67 km²
GE45 result
Margin
19.2%
Competitive
80.8/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.5% aged 65+
Employment12.4% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#118
Median income
$55,250
#T157
Avg 2BR rent
$1522/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T78
Unemployment
12.4%
top 25%#121
Shelter stressed
22.4%
#103
Renters
35.2%
Age distribution
Under 35
15.1%#T168
35–64
53.4%
65+
31.5%#98
Housing tenure
Renters
35.2%#103
Owners
64.8%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.0%#277
High school
20.0%#224
College/trades
32.8%#202
Bachelor's
25.4%#101
Postgrad
15.7%#75
People & Economy
#T169
French knowledge
7.9%
#128
Immigrants
25.3%
#114
Recent arrivals
4.7%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#130
Visible minority
27.1%
#198
Indigenous
2.2%
#T178
Govt. transfers
12.8%
#160
Self-employed
14.1%
Industry of employment
Public sector30.7%#85
Finance & prof15.0%#91
Trades & transport13.5%#269
Manufacturing7.8%#162
Resources0.8%#T239
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 30.1 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$6.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$4.5M/yr
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