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ONSAFEOntario
Essex
C
Chris Lewis
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative49%±6%·92% win
Liberal39%±5%·8% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Drive to work
90.9%
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$58,400
Renters
12.1%
Under 35
9.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.8%
Area
2,426 km²
GE45 result
Margin
20.8%
Competitive
79.2/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.1% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#84
Median income
$58,400
top 25%#182
Avg 2BR rent
$1463/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T84
Unemployment
12.3%
top 25%#308
Shelter stressed
11.7%
bottom 25%#338
Renters
12.1%
bottom 5%Age distribution
Under 35
9.7%#326
35–64
59.2%
65+
31.1%#105
Housing tenure
Renters
12.1%#338
Owners
87.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.4%#240
High school
27.5%#110
College/trades
38.2%#129
Bachelor's
18.5%#177
Postgrad
8.3%#188
People & Economy
#132
French knowledge
11.3%
#198
Immigrants
13.3%
#T251
Recent arrivals
1.1%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#215
Visible minority
9.7%
#154
Indigenous
3.3%
#T209
Govt. transfers
11.5%
#219
Self-employed
12.3%
Industry of employment
Public sector25.8%
Trades & transport20.4%
Manufacturing19.3%
Finance & prof8.3%
Resources4.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 69.1 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 71.9 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.0M/yr
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